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Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Rodriguez D.
22'
Galvez O.
36' Event
Llorente R.
Assist: Macias O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Monterrey and Atletico San Luis finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico San Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Monterrey
15%
Draws
48%
Atletico San Luis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico San Luis haven't matched Monterrey's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey Atletico San Luis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Monterrey
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis
3:1
Dec 8, 2024 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuypers H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Atletico San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Llorente R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey 31 / 100
Atletico San Luis 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey Atletico San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Monterrey's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Atletico San Luis let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Monterrey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey VS Atletico San Luis
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey

(Home)
03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Toluca
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
07 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Monterrey
Page 1 of 6

Atletico San Luis

(Away)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
31 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 3
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)