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Monterrey vs Club Tijuana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monterrey host Club Tijuana in the Liga MX. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Monterrey at 1.69 goals for, 1.52 against; Club Tijuana at 1.29 for, 1.32 against. Head-to-head, Monterrey have won 0 to Club Tijuana's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Monterrey. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Monterrey
35%
Draws
19%
Club Tijuana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monterrey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monterrey come out ahead of Club Tijuana on wins alone.
  • Monterrey are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 17%
Club Tijuana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey Club Tijuana
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Club Tijuana
2:2
Oct 6, 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Monterrey
2:2
Mar 30, 2025 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Club Tijuana
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Monterrey
2:2
Feb 29, 2024 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Monterrey
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey 57 / 100
Club Tijuana 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey Club Tijuana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Club Tijuana conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Monterrey stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey VS Club Tijuana
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey

(Home)
22 Oct
Puebla
1 : 4
Monterrey
19 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Pachuca
11 Oct
Club America
1 : 1
Monterrey
03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Toluca
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
Page 1 of 6

Club Tijuana

(Away)
22 Oct
Toluca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
17 Oct
Club Tijuana
0 : 0
Puebla
10 Oct
Juarez
1 : 1
Club Tijuana
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 12 8 3 1 32:16 27
2 Guadalajara Chivas 13 6 5 2 20:12 23
3 Cruz Azul 13 7 2 4 29:22 23
4 Toluca 13 6 4 3 28:18 22
5 Club Leon 13 6 3 4 20:17 21
6 Atlas 13 6 3 4 21:23 21
7 Monterrey 12 6 2 4 23:17 20
8 Queretaro 12 6 2 4 16:15 20
9 Santos Laguna 13 6 1 6 19:16 19
10 Club Tijuana 12 4 5 3 17:16 17
11 UNAM Pumas 13 4 4 5 19:22 16
12 Atletico San Luis 13 4 4 5 18:22 16
13 Puebla 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
14 Tigres UANL 13 3 5 5 14:18 14
15 Atlante 13 3 5 5 14:19 14
16 Pachuca 13 3 4 6 20:18 13
17 Necaxa 13 2 3 8 15:26 9
18 Juarez 13 1 1 11 8:32 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)