Sport Picks
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio BBVA, Monterrey 
AI Match Summary
Monterrey host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX. Little to choose between these two on current form. Monterrey have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Guadalajara Chivas's 1.67 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Monterrey have won 1 to Guadalajara Chivas's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.63, favoring Guadalajara Chivas. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Monterrey haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas's recent run of results.
- Model gives Monterrey a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monterrey | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monterrey scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Monterrey has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Guadalajara Chivas conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Monterrey
(Home)Guadalajara Chivas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27:14 | 24 |
| 2 | Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:16 | 21 |
| 3 | Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Queretaro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 7 | Club Leon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 16 |
| 11 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:20 | 16 |
| 12 | Puebla | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 13 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:16 | 14 |
| 14 | Pachuca | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19:16 | 13 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 13 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:25 | 9 |
| 18 | Juarez | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8:31 | 4 |
