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Monterrey W vs Club Leon W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Cancha El Barrial
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Monroy D.
14' Event
Villanueva A.
32' Event
Garcia L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Monterrey W and Club Leon W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Monterrey W
22%
Draws
18%
Club Leon W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Monterrey W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Monterrey W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 16%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey W Club Leon W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.38 2.29
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Monterrey W
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Club Leon W
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Club Leon W
2:0
Sep 27, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Monterrey W
1:1
Mar 8, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Monterrey W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bosch L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Villanueva A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.27

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey W 57 / 100
Club Leon W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey W Club Leon W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monterrey W scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Club Leon W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Monterrey W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey W VS Club Leon W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.29
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.71
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 71%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tigres UANL W17133160:1142
2Pachuca W17133160:2042
3Club America W17122356:2238
4Toluca W17105235:1735
5Guadalajara Chivas W17103429:1733
6Monterrey W17102538:2432
7Cruz Azul W1784542:2728
8Juarez W1776424:1727
9Club Leon W1783632:3327
10Atletico San Luis W1774624:2725
11UNAM Pumas W1772835:3223
12Atlas W1764728:3322
13Club Tijuana W17431019:3315
14Queretaro W17341017:5013
15Santos Laguna W17331119:4012
16Necaxa W1722139:408
17Puebla W1713138:436
18Mazatlan FC W1702159:582