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Monterrey W vs Necaxa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Cancha El Barrial, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Garcia D.
26' Event
Daiane
Assist: Servin F.
35'
Danae Gutierrez Acosta A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Monterrey W and Necaxa W finished 10-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Monterrey W
15%
Draws
0%
Necaxa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Monterrey W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Monterrey W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monterrey W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 20%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey W Necaxa W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 1
Draws 5 1
Losses 5 28
Goals Scored 2.65 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Necaxa W
10:0
Jan 12, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Necaxa W
5:0
Sep 30, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Monterrey W
0:5
Feb 6, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Necaxa W
4:0
Aug 6, 2024 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Monterrey W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Daiane
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.72

Necaxa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey W 85 / 100
Necaxa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey W Necaxa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Necaxa W let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Monterrey W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey W VS Necaxa W
2.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey W

(Home)
03 Oct
Monterrey W
4 : 3
Club America W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1
Toluca W
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Necaxa W

(Away)
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4
Toluca W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)