Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monterrey W vs Puebla W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Cancha El Barrial, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Servin F.
7' Event
Garcia D.
15' Event
Burkenroad C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Monterrey W and Puebla W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Monterrey W
15%
Draws
17%
Puebla W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Monterrey W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Monterrey W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Monterrey W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 68%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey W Puebla W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 22
Goals Scored 2.57 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Puebla W
4:0
Aug 3, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Monterrey W
0:5
Jan 20, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Puebla W
5:1
Jul 7, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Monterrey W
0:1
Jan 6, 2024 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Puebla W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Servin F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Puebla W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey W 95 / 100
Puebla W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey W Puebla W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Puebla W let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Monterrey W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey W VS Puebla W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey W

(Home)
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1
Toluca W
29 Aug
Queretaro W
0 : 4
Monterrey W
22 Aug
Monterrey W
2 : 3
Club Leon W
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Puebla W

(Away)
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1
Necaxa W
23 Aug
Puebla W
2 : 5
Atletico San Luis W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)