Sport Picks
Montespaccato vs Atl. Lodigiani Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Coulibaly B.
30'
30'
Serban F.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atl. Lodigiani lately — more wins on the board than Montespaccato.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montespaccato | Atl. Lodigiani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.16 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Atl. Lodigiani
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Montespaccato
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montespaccato Compare
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58
Atl. Lodigiani Compare
Top Goalscorer Coulibaly B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montespaccato 41 / 100
Atl. Lodigiani 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montespaccato Atl. Lodigiani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montespaccato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Montespaccato scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Atl. Lodigiani let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Atl. Lodigiani registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montespaccato VS Atl. Lodigiani
1.43 Goals Scored 0.75
2.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 13%
57% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Montespaccato
(Home) 03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4 Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0 Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3 Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2 Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1 Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4 Flaminia
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3 Latte Dolce
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1 Atl. Lodigiani
22 Mar
Montespaccato
2 : 2 Sarrabus Ogliastra
01 Mar
Montespaccato
1 : 1 Cassino
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Lodigiani
(Away) 27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3 Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0 Atl. Lodigiani
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2 Latte Dolce
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1 Atl. Lodigiani
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3 Albalonga
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0 Atl. Lodigiani
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1 Atl. Lodigiani
03 May
Cassino
0 : 2 Atl. Lodigiani
19 Apr
Budoni Calcio
1 : 0 Atl. Lodigiani
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1 Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scafatese | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 75:23 | 87 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 64:46 | 60 |
| 3 | Monastir | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:44 | 53 |
| 4 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53:37 | 51 |
| 5 | Albalonga | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 55:55 | 50 |
| 6 | Latte Dolce | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:49 | 48 |
| 7 | Valmontone | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:50 | 48 |
| 8 | Nocerina | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 36:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Budoni Calcio | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:32 | 45 |
| 11 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Atl. Lodigiani | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:40 | 44 |
| 13 | Ischia | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:52 | 43 |
| 14 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 15 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39:58 | 36 |
| 16 | Olbia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 39:50 | 36 |
| 17 | Montespaccato | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 47:58 | 30 |
| 18 | Cassino | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:55 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)
