Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022

Montespaccato

1 - 1

FC Rieti

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Cali A.

60'

Vari F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 game between Montespaccato and FC Rieti finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Montespaccato

30%

Draws

34%

FC Rieti

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montespaccato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

FC Rieti carry the better recent record into this one.
36% — that's where the model lands on Montespaccato taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Montespaccato Clean Sheet 16%

FC Rieti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montespaccato	FC Rieti
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	7	9
Draws	13	6
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	1.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.88	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group E

Montespaccato vs FC Rieti

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Feb 16, 2022 Serie D - Group E

FC Rieti vs Montespaccato

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 4 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montespaccato Compare

Top Goalscorer Cali A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Rieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Vari F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montespaccato 36 / 100

FC Rieti 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montespaccato FC Rieti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montespaccato scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

FC Rieti has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Difficult form: FC Rieti registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montespaccato VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

1.88 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	26	3	5	86:30	81
2	Poggibonsi	34	23	5	6	61:28	74
3	Arezzo	34	18	10	6	65:45	64
4	Follonica Gavorrano	34	18	9	7	63:30	63
5	Pianese	34	16	8	10	58:42	56
6	Lornano Badesse	34	15	9	10	47:43	54
7	Sporting Trestina	34	13	10	11	48:43	49
8	Flaminia	34	13	7	14	49:50	46
9	Tiferno Lerchi	34	10	12	12	36:48	42
10	Montespaccato	34	11	9	14	43:44	42
11	Mobilieri Ponsacco	34	11	9	14	39:40	42
12	Sangiovannese	34	9	14	11	37:39	41
13	Scandicci	34	10	11	13	36:44	41
14	FC Rieti	34	9	8	17	39:58	35
15	Foligno	34	9	8	17	46:65	35
16	Unipomezia	34	8	7	19	38:64	31
17	Cannara	34	5	9	20	27:52	24
18	Pro Livorno	34	5	6	23	31:84	21