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Stadium Background

Montespaccato vs Ischia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Coratella C.
53' Event
Vitelli R.
74' Event
Lilli F.

AI Match Summary

Montespaccato in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montespaccato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Montespaccato
20%
Draws
64%
Ischia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ischia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ischia have won more games recently than Montespaccato.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 16%
Ischia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montespaccato Ischia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Ischia vs Montespaccato
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Ischia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montespaccato Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitelli R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lilli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Ischia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montespaccato 31 / 100
Ischia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montespaccato Ischia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ischia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montespaccato scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Ischia has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ischia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montespaccato VS Ischia
1.43 Goals Scored 0.63
2.29 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montespaccato

(Home)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

Ischia

(Away)
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0
Ischia
13 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1
Ischia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)