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Montespaccato vs Nocerina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Montespaccato Logo

Montespaccato

0 - 0
FT
Nocerina Logo

Nocerina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Montespaccato
20%
Draws
73%
Nocerina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nocerina lately — more wins on the board than Montespaccato.
  • Model gives Nocerina a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 16%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montespaccato Nocerina
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 11
Draws 12 13
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Nocerina
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Montespaccato
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montespaccato 23 / 100
Nocerina 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montespaccato Nocerina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nocerina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montespaccato's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nocerina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Montespaccato stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montespaccato VS Nocerina
1.33 Goals Scored 0.63
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.5
83% Over 1.5 38%
67% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montespaccato

(Home)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

Nocerina

(Away)
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
11 Aug
Nocerina
3 : 0
Gelbison
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)