Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montevarchi vs Cannara

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Montevarchi
20%
Draws
38%
Cannara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montevarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montevarchi lately — more wins on the board than Cannara.
  • Montevarchi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 20%
Cannara Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montevarchi Cannara
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 14 8
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Cannara
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Montevarchi
0:0
Feb 21, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Montevarchi
0:0
Sep 27, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Cannara
3:1
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Cannara
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevarchi 42 / 100
Cannara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montevarchi Cannara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cannara has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Montevarchi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Montevarchi's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Montevarchi VS Cannara
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevarchi

(Home)
03 May
Prato
1 : 0
Montevarchi
26 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0
Montevarchi
12 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Montevarchi
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Cannara

(Away)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1
Scandicci
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)