Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montevarchi vs Cannara

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Montevarchi
30%
Draws
41%
Cannara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cannara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montevarchi lately — more wins on the board than Cannara.
  • Montevarchi are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 20%
Cannara Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montevarchi Cannara
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 15 8
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 0.77 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Cannara
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Montevarchi
0:0
Feb 21, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Montevarchi
0:0
Sep 27, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Cannara
3:1
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Cannara
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevarchi 36 / 100
Cannara 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montevarchi Cannara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cannara has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Montevarchi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Montevarchi's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Montevarchi VS Cannara
0.5 Goals Scored 0.83
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.83
38% Over 1.5 33%
0% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevarchi

(Home)
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Montevarchi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1
Tau
06 Sept
Lucchese
2 : 1
Montevarchi
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0
Figline
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Cannara

(Away)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1
Scandicci
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)