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Montevarchi vs Colligiana Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 game between Montevarchi and Colligiana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montevarchi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Montevarchi
20%
Draws
10%
Colligiana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montevarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montevarchi come out ahead of Colligiana on wins alone.
  • Montevarchi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 20%
Colligiana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montevarchi Colligiana
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 13 7
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 0.84 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Montevarchi vs Colligiana
1:0
Oct 22, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Colligiana vs Montevarchi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevarchi 85 / 100
Colligiana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montevarchi Colligiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevarchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colligiana let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Montevarchi's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Montevarchi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Colligiana's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Montevarchi VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevarchi

(Home)
27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0
SCD Progresso
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Montevarchi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1
Tau
06 Sept
Lucchese
2 : 1
Montevarchi
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Colligiana

(Away)
27 Aug
Grosseto
4 : 0
Colligiana
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3
Villabiagio
29 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0
Colligiana
22 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 2
Forli FC
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1
Colligiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)