Sport Picks
Montevarchi vs Fulgens Foligno
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 
Match Events
14'
14'
Bontempi M.
27'
27'
Pupo Posada Y.
31'
31'
Khribech W.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fulgens Foligno lately — more wins on the board than Montevarchi.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Montevarchi taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 20%
Fulgens Foligno Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montevarchi | Fulgens Foligno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 15 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.74 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Fulgens Foligno
2:2
Nov 16, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Fulgens Foligno vs Montevarchi
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montevarchi Compare
Top Goalscorer Bontempi M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Orlandi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Fulgens Foligno Compare
Top Goalscorer Pupo Posada Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Khribech W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montevarchi 40 / 100
Fulgens Foligno 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montevarchi Fulgens Foligno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montevarchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Montevarchi scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Fulgens Foligno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Montevarchi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montevarchi VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Montevarchi
(Home) 27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0 SCD Progresso
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Montevarchi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1 Montevarchi
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1 Tau
06 Sept
Lucchese
2 : 1 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0 SCD Progresso
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1 Tau
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0 Figline
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0 Grassina
26 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 3
Fulgens Foligno
(Away) 11 May
Fulgens Foligno
1 : 2 Orvietana
04 May
Fulgens Foligno
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
27 Apr
Livorno
2 : 1 Fulgens Foligno
17 Apr
Fulgens Foligno
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
12 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Fulgens Foligno
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Livorno
2 : 1 Fulgens Foligno
12 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Fulgens Foligno
30 Mar
Montevarchi
2 : 2 Fulgens Foligno
09 Mar
Ostiamare
2 : 2 Fulgens Foligno
23 Feb
Fezzanese
0 : 0 Fulgens Foligno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livorno | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 74:44 | 72 |
| 2 | Fulgens Foligno | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:44 | 60 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:39 | 59 |
| 4 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 65:57 | 55 |
| 5 | Orvietana | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Siena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Grosseto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:34 | 50 |
| 8 | Ostiamare | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49:53 | 45 |
| 9 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32:36 | 43 |
| 10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Flaminia | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 15 | Figline | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 29:33 | 38 |
| 16 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:45 | 38 |
| 17 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 30:38 | 36 |
| 18 | Fezzanese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:63 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)
