Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Montevarchi and Sangiovannese finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montevarchi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Montevarchi carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Montevarchi a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 20%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montevarchi | Sangiovannese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.53 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Sangiovannese
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Montevarchi
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Montevarchi
0:0
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Sangiovannese
2:1
Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Montevarchi
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montevarchi 40 / 100
Sangiovannese 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montevarchi Sangiovannese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montevarchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sangiovannese has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Sangiovannese lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Montevarchi scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Montevarchi VS Sangiovannese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Montevarchi
(Home) 06 Sept
Lucchese
2 : 1 Montevarchi
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0 Figline
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0 Grassina
05 Aug
Pianese
2 : 0 Montevarchi
03 May
Prato
1 : 0 Montevarchi
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19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0 Figline
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0 Grassina
26 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
12 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
28 Mar
Montevarchi
1 : 1 Poggibonsi
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Sangiovannese
(Away) 26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
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27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
12 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 1 Sangiovannese
30 Mar
Ghiviborgo
4 : 2 Sangiovannese
09 Mar
Montevarchi
0 : 0 Sangiovannese
23 Feb
Ostiamare
2 : 2 Sangiovannese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livorno | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 74:44 | 72 |
| 2 | Fulgens Foligno | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:44 | 60 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:39 | 59 |
| 4 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 65:57 | 55 |
| 5 | Orvietana | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Siena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Grosseto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:34 | 50 |
| 8 | Ostiamare | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49:53 | 45 |
| 9 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32:36 | 43 |
| 10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Flaminia | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 15 | Figline | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 29:33 | 38 |
| 16 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:45 | 38 |
| 17 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 30:38 | 36 |
| 18 | Fezzanese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:63 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)
