Sport Picks

Montevideo City vs Atenas Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Montevideo City

3 - 3

Atenas

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Suarez N.

39'

Busquets E.

50'

Zampieri S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-3. The second leg ended 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Montevideo City

35%

Draws

31%

Atenas

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Montevideo City come out ahead of Atenas on wins alone.
Win probability leans Montevideo City's way, sitting at 80%.
Montevideo City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Montevideo City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%

Montevideo City Clean Sheet 68%

Atenas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montevideo City	Atenas
Matches Played	33	28
Wins	19	12
Draws	6	6
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	1.79	1.46
Goals Conceded	1.15	1.32
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Montevideo City vs Atenas

3:3

Sep 25, 2024 Segunda Division

Montevideo City vs Atenas

3:2

Jun 9, 2024 Segunda Division

Atenas vs Montevideo City

1:0

Apr 21, 2024 Segunda Division

Atenas vs Montevideo City

1:1

Aug 20, 2019 Segunda Division

Montevideo City vs Atenas

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montevideo City Compare

Top Goalscorer Busquets E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zampieri S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez N.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevideo City 86 / 100

Atenas 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montevideo City Atenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montevideo City's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Atenas let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Montevideo City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montevideo City VS Atenas

2.13 Goals Scored 1.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevideo City

(Home)

24 Sept

Montevideo City

3 : 3

Atenas

21 Sept

Central Esp.

1 : 4

Montevideo City

18 Sept

Montevideo City

3 : 0

Cienciano

14 Sept

Montevideo City

3 : 1

Liverpool M.

11 Sept

Cienciano

2 : 0

Montevideo City

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Atenas

(Away)

24 Sept

Montevideo City

3 : 3

Atenas

19 Sept

La Luz

0 : 1

Atenas

13 Sept

Atenas

0 : 0

Cerrito

06 Sept

Atenas

3 : 2

River Plate Montevideo

02 Sept

Atenas

2 : 2

Penarol

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