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Stadium Background

Montevideo City vs Cienciano

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Montevideo City Logo

Montevideo City

3 - 0
FT
Cienciano Logo

Cienciano

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Barreto G.
22'
Silvera F.
38' Event
Rodriguez S.
Assist: Silva K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Montevideo City
15%
Draws
32%
Cienciano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montevideo City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Montevideo City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Montevideo City a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Montevideo City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Montevideo City, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 20%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montevideo City Cienciano
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Montevideo City vs Cienciano
3:0
Sep 11, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Cienciano vs Montevideo City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montevideo City Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Da Silva N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cienciano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevideo City 76 / 100
Cienciano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montevideo City Cienciano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montevideo City found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Cienciano let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Montevideo City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montevideo City VS Cienciano
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevideo City

(Home)
27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Maldonado
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4
Montevideo City
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1
Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6

Cienciano

(Away)
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -