Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montevideo City vs Liverpool M.

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Charrúa, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gutierrez B.
17'
Sub
Machado R. In: Brizuela T.
Out: Machado R.
21'
Martinez F.

AI Match Summary

Montevideo City in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montevideo City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Montevideo City
30%
Draws
47%
Liverpool M.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Liverpool M.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Montevideo City have won more games recently than Liverpool M..
  • Montevideo City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 68%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montevideo City Liverpool M.
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.73 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Liverpool M.
3:1
Mar 16, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Montevideo City
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Liverpool M.
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Montevideo City
4:1
Oct 23, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Liverpool M.
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montevideo City Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Liverpool M. Compare

Top Goalscorer Brizuela T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevideo City 59 / 100
Liverpool M. 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montevideo City Liverpool M.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montevideo City scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Montevideo City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Liverpool M.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Montevideo City VS Liverpool M.
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevideo City

(Home)
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0
Montevideo City
30 Sept
Montevideo City
1 : 1
Penarol
27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Maldonado
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4
Montevideo City
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Liverpool M.

(Away)
03 Oct
Liverpool M.
3 : 2
Progreso
27 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 2
Liverpool M.
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0
Colon
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1
Liverpool M.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
2 Montevideo City 9 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Penarol 9 6 2 1 15:6 19
4 Maldonado 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
5 Club Nacional 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
6 Wanderers 9 4 3 2 12:11 15
7 Juventud 9 3 5 1 10:6 14
8 CA Cerro 9 4 2 3 9:11 14
9 Racing Montevideo 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Progreso 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
11 Boston River 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
12 Defensor Sp. 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Danubio 9 1 4 4 4:10 7
14 Cerro Largo 9 0 5 4 6:12 5
15 Central Esp. 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
16 Albion 9 1 0 8 9:18 3
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)