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Montgomery United vs Swarm FC

USA USA

USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Montgomery United and Swarm FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Montgomery United
11%
Draws
80%
Swarm FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Swarm FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Swarm FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Swarm FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Montgomery United Clean Sheet 10%
Swarm FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montgomery United Swarm FC
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.75 2.88
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs Montgomery United
4:0
Jun 14, 2026 USL League Two
Montgomery United vs Swarm FC
2:2
Jul 7, 2025 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs Montgomery United
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montgomery United 10 / 100
Swarm FC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montgomery United Swarm FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montgomery United scored in 83% of their last 24 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Swarm FC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Montgomery United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montgomery United VS Swarm FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Montgomery United

(Home)
11 Jul
Birmingham Legion 2
3 : 2
Montgomery United
09 Jul
Montgomery United
0 : 2
Columbus United
02 Jul
Montgomery United
1 : 2
Dothan United
27 Jun
Montgomery United
4 : 1
Apotheos
23 Jun
Swarm FC
4 : 0
Montgomery United
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Swarm FC

(Away)
16 Jul
Fort Lauderdale United
4 : 0
Swarm FC
08 Jul
Swarm FC
5 : 4
East Atlanta FC
28 Jun
Swarm FC
3 : 1
Dothan United
26 Jun
Birmingham Legion 2
2 : 2
Swarm FC
23 Jun
Swarm FC
4 : 0
Montgomery United
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