Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup 2011/2012

Montgomery

3 - 7

FC Cefn

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FA Cup 2011/2012 game between Montgomery and FC Cefn finished 3-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cefn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Montgomery

Draws

90%

FC Cefn

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Cefn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Montgomery have managed 2.67 goals a game lately — FC Cefn are scoring more at 3.33.
Model gives FC Cefn a 90% chance of winning this.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FA Cup 2011/2012 game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 100%

Over 3.5 Goals 83.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 38%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 87%

Montgomery Clean Sheet 10%

FC Cefn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montgomery	FC Cefn
Matches Played	6	3
Wins	2	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	4	1
Goals Scored	2.67	3.33
Goals Conceded	4.83	3.33
Expected Goals (xG)	2.67	3.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.83	3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2011 FA Cup

Montgomery vs FC Cefn

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

3:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montgomery 10 / 100

FC Cefn 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montgomery FC Cefn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEF Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montgomery scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

FC Cefn let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Montgomery stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montgomery VS FC Cefn

2.67 Goals Scored 3.33

4.83 Goals Conceded 3.33

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 100%

100% Over 3.5 67%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Cefn Druids6

Caernarfon1

Carno FC0

Coedpoeth2

Llanidloes Town-

TBD-

Gwalchmai2

Connahs Q.7

Goytre Utd1

Ton Pentre0

Abertillery Bluebirds0

Caerau Ely2

TBD-

Prestatyn-

Llandudno FC3

Venture Community1

Rhos Aelwyd0

Guilsfield1

Barmouth & Dyffryn United4

Ruthin Town1

Conwy Borough1

Caersws FC2

FC Cefn2

Penycae FC1

Connahs Quay Town0

Montgomery4

TBD-

Aberystwyth-

Carmarthen Town-

TBD-

Tata Steel3

Newcastle Emlyn1

Splott0

Bridgend Town2

Cambrian United5

Monmouth1

Llanrug3

Llandrindod4

Pontardawe3

Treowen0

Aberbargoed Buds0

AFC Porth2

Afan Lido-

TBD-

Port Talbot-

Wrexham-

TBD-

Airbus UK Broughton FC-

Bala-

TBD-

Caerleon1

Aberaman0

Rhosgoch2

Merthyr Saints6

Taffs Well5

Undy4

Dinas Powys0

Builth2

Holyhead6

Llanrhaeadr1

Penrhyncoch0

Buckley4

Rhyl5

Gresford0

Bethesda Athletic1

Porthmadog3

TBD-

Newtown-

Bangor City-

TBD-

Llanelli-

Neath Athletic-

TBD-

Cardiff Corries2

Cwmaman Institute0

Cwmbran Celtic0

West End2

Newport Civil Service4

Caldicot2

Risca United0

Newbridge4

Denbigh3

Llangefni2

Chirk AAA FC1

Flint Town5

Newport-

TBD-

Haverfordwest2

Cardiff Metropolitan University0

Merthyr Town0

Barry Town3

Bryntirion Athletic3

Cwmbran Town1

Aberaeron1

Goytre AFC3

TBD-

TNS-

1/32-finals

Cefn Druids8

Coedpoeth0

Llanidloes Town0

Connahs Q.2

Goytre Utd8

Caerau Ely1

TBD-

Prestatyn-

Llandudno FC3

Guilsfield1

Barmouth & Dyffryn United0

Caersws FC3

FC Cefn7

Montgomery3

TBD-

Aberystwyth-

Carmarthen Town-

TBD-

Tata Steel3

Bridgend Town5

Cambrian United2

Llandrindod0

Pontardawe0

AFC Porth3

Afan Lido-

TBD-

Port Talbot-

Wrexham-

TBD-

Airbus UK Broughton FC-

Bala-

TBD-

Caerleon3

Merthyr Saints4

Taffs Well5

Builth0

Holyhead2

Buckley5

Rhyl3

Porthmadog2

TBD-

Newtown-

Bangor City-

TBD-

Llanelli-

Neath Athletic-

TBD-

Cardiff Corries1

West End2

Newport Civil Service2

Newbridge0

Denbigh1

Flint Town2

Newport-

TBD-

Haverfordwest1

Barry Town2

Bryntirion Athletic5

Goytre AFC2

TBD-

TNS-

1/16-finals

Cefn Druids2

Connahs Q.1

Goytre Utd2

Prestatyn6

Llandudno FC1

Caersws FC0

FC Cefn1

Aberystwyth6

Carmarthen Town2

Bridgend Town1

Cambrian United0

AFC Porth1

Afan Lido1

Port Talbot0

Wrexham1

Airbus UK Broughton FC2

Bala6

Merthyr Saints0

Taffs Well3

Buckley4

Rhyl2

Newtown1

Bangor City2

Llanelli4

Neath Athletic4

West End0

Newport Civil Service0

Flint Town3

Newport3

Barry Town2

Bryntirion Athletic0

TNS6

1/8-finals

Cefn Druids2

Prestatyn0

Llandudno FC1

Aberystwyth2

Carmarthen Town3

AFC Porth1

Afan Lido2

Airbus UK Broughton FC3

Bala4

Buckley2

Rhyl3

Llanelli4

Neath Athletic3

Flint Town1

Newport0

TNS4

Quarter-finals

Cefn Druids1

Aberystwyth0

Carmarthen Town1

Airbus UK Broughton FC3

Bala2

Llanelli1

Neath Athletic0

TNS1

Semi-finals

Cefn Druids4

Airbus UK Broughton FC1

Bala0

TNS4

Final

Cefn Druids0

TNS2