Sport Picks
Monticelli vs Notaresco Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Notaresco Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Notaresco Calcio have won more games recently than Monticelli.
- Model gives Notaresco Calcio a 37% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Monticelli Clean Sheet 17%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monticelli | Notaresco Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 44 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 13 | 14 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Notaresco Calcio
0:0
Nov 11, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Monticelli
2:0
Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Monticelli
1:1
Sep 25, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Notaresco Calcio
2:2
Jan 30, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Monticelli
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monticelli 23 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monticelli Notaresco Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Notaresco Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Notaresco Calcio conceded in 61% of 44 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Monticelli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Monticelli scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Notaresco Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Monticelli
(Home) 06 May
ASD Francavilla
2 : 1 Monticelli
29 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 0 Castelfidardo
22 Apr
Agnonese
6 : 0 Monticelli
15 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 1 Nerostellati Pratola
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2 Monticelli
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 0 Castelfidardo
15 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 1 Nerostellati Pratola
29 Mar
Monticelli
0 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
04 Mar
Monticelli
1 : 0 Vis Pesaro
18 Feb
Monticelli
3 : 1 Vastese
Page 1 of 3
Notaresco Calcio
(Away) 04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1 Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
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04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 61:29 | 73 |
| 2 | Matelica | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 66:28 | 71 |
| 3 | Avezzano | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 51:26 | 62 |
| 4 | Pineto | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 5 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 57:40 | 55 |
| 6 | ASD Francavilla | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 47:38 | 53 |
| 7 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 8 | Vastese | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 55:50 | 51 |
| 9 | Sangiustese | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39:41 | 48 |
| 10 | Campobasso | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:40 | 45 |
| 11 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43:54 | 44 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47:47 | 43 |
| 13 | Agnonese | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:35 | 41 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:51 | 40 |
| 15 | Jesina | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:46 | 34 |
| 16 | Monticelli | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 25:45 | 30 |
| 17 | Fabriano Cerreto | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 29:69 | 20 |
| 18 | Nerostellati Pratola | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 19:71 | 18 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
