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Montijo vs Belenenses B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montijo play Belenenses B in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group G. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montijo averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Belenenses B averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Montijo won 1, Belenenses B won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 10, 2021 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Montijo and 1.50 for Belenenses B. This points to a Belenenses B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Montijo
22%
Draws
60%
Belenenses B
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Belenenses B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Montijo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Belenenses B.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Belenenses B.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group G provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Montijo Clean Sheet 16%
Belenenses B Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montijo Belenenses B
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Belenenses B vs Montijo
1:0
Oct 18, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Montijo vs Belenenses B
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montijo 19 / 100
Belenenses B 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montijo Belenenses B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montijo scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Belenenses B let in goals in 68% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Montijo went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Belenenses B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montijo VS Belenenses B
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estrela da Amadora22165134:1253
2Sporting CP B22147133:749
3Oriental Dragon22114730:2037
4SC Praiense2288625:2332
5Real SC2295832:2332
6GD Fontinhas2295830:2632
7CD Rabo Peixe2276917:2527
8Sporting Ideal2258926:3423
9Belenenses B22571016:2622
10Fabril do Barreiro22561119:3121
11Oriental22371216:2716
12Montijo22441419:4316