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Stadium Background

Montijo vs Cabeza del Buey

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Alvarez A.
16' Event
de Luis M.

AI Match Summary

Montijo host Cabeza del Buey in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. Little to choose between these two on current form. Montijo have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Cabeza del Buey's 1.38 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Montijo have won 0 to Cabeza del Buey's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.31) point toward Cabeza del Buey. Cabeza del Buey in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Montijo
39%
Draws
30%
Cabeza del Buey
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Cabeza del Buey has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Montijo.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 14 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Montijo Clean Sheet 18%
Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montijo Cabeza del Buey
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Cabeza del Buey
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza del Buey vs Montijo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montijo Compare

Top Goalscorer de Luis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cabeza del Buey Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montijo 32 / 100
Cabeza del Buey 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montijo Cabeza del Buey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montijo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Cabeza del Buey let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Montijo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cabeza del Buey lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montijo VS Cabeza del Buey
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722