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Montijo vs Moralo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Montijo Logo

Montijo

0 - 0
FT
Moralo Logo

Moralo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Montijo and Moralo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Montijo
15%
Draws
53%
Moralo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Moralo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Moralo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Montijo Clean Sheet 20%
Moralo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montijo Moralo
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 18
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Moralo
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Montijo
4:2
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Montijo
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Moralo
1:0
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Moralo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montijo 28 / 100
Moralo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montijo Moralo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moralo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montijo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Moralo has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Montijo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montijo VS Moralo
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montijo

(Home)
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1
Guadiana
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
Page 1 of 6

Moralo

(Away)
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0
CD Zafra
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)