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Montijo vs Moralo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Montijo and Moralo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Montijo
30%
Draws
34%
Moralo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montijo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Moralo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Montijo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Montijo Clean Sheet 17%
Moralo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montijo Moralo
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Moralo
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Montijo
4:2
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Montijo
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Moralo
1:0
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Moralo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montijo 36 / 100
Moralo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montijo Moralo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montijo scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Montijo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Moralo has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montijo VS Moralo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montijo

(Home)
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Montijo
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 6

Moralo

(Away)
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1
Don Benito
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)