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Montilla vs Conil Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013
Montilla Logo

Montilla

3 - 1
FT
Conil Logo

Conil

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 game between Montilla and Conil finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Montilla
15%
Draws
42%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Conil come out ahead of Montilla on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Montilla Clean Sheet 19%
Conil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montilla Conil
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Montilla vs Conil
3:1
Dec 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Montilla
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montilla 32 / 100
Conil 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montilla Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Montilla scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Conil has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Conil lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Conil
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montilla

(Home)
31 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 0
Montilla
19 Oct
Montilla
0 : 1
Rincon
19 May
Algeciras
4 : 0
Montilla
12 May
Montilla
3 : 1
Conil
05 May
Mairena
2 : 0
Montilla
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Conil

(Away)
30 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Conil
27 Sept
Linense
3 : 1
Conil
20 Sept
Conil
0 : 2
Cadiz B
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 38 21 13 4 65:27 76
2 Cordoba B 38 21 12 5 59:22 75
3 Coria C.F. 38 19 11 8 64:37 68
4 Mairena 38 17 14 7 47:28 65
5 AD Ceuta 38 18 9 11 63:38 63
6 Cabecense 38 14 17 7 52:35 59
7 CD Alcala 38 16 10 12 49:39 58
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:57 50
9 San Roque de Cadiz 37 14 8 15 45:55 50
10 Portuense 37 11 16 10 35:33 49
11 Cadiz B 38 12 11 15 36:47 47
12 Conil 38 11 12 15 46:56 45
13 Sevilla C 38 10 14 14 40:46 44
14 CMD San Juan 38 10 13 15 35:44 43
15 Pozoblanco 38 10 11 17 30:50 41
16 Arcos CF 38 11 8 19 37:59 41
17 Ayamonte 38 11 7 20 35:61 40
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 34:51 40
19 Los Barrios 38 9 11 18 30:55 38
20 Montilla 38 9 6 23 37:56 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)