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Montlouis vs Chambly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Jaques T.
53' Event
Vicart H.
89' Event
Amiche K.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group A game between Montlouis and Chambly finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chambly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Montlouis
15%
Draws
59%
Chambly
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chambly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Montlouis haven't matched Chambly's recent run of results.
  • Chambly are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 11%
Chambly Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Chambly
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 12 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Montlouis vs Chambly
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Vicart H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chambly Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaques T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amiche K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 10 / 100
Chambly 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Chambly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chambly Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Chambly's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Montlouis went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Chambly
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montlouis

(Home)
31 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 2
Chambly
17 Oct
USLPV
4 : 1
Montlouis
03 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 0
Saint-Pryve
19 Sept
Biesheim
5 : 2
Montlouis
12 Sept
Montlouis
0 : 0
Creteil
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Chambly

(Away)
31 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 2
Chambly
17 Oct
Chambly
3 : 2
Dieppe
03 Oct
Feignies-Aulnoye
1 : 0
Chambly
19 Sept
Chambly
4 : 0
Colmar
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Chambly
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chambly 9 7 0 2 17:9 21
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 9 5 4 0 15:8 19
3 Creteil 9 5 2 2 16:6 17
4 Racing Club de France 8 5 2 1 13:5 17
5 Furiani Agliani 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
6 Feignies-Aulnoye 9 4 4 1 8:6 16
7 Biesheim 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
8 USLPV 9 2 3 4 15:15 9
9 Epinal 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
10 Colmar 9 2 3 4 7:13 9
11 Dieppe 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
12 Borgo 8 2 2 4 9:11 8
13 Haguenau 9 2 1 6 7:19 7
14 Montlouis 9 1 3 5 8:18 6
15 Saint-Pryve 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
16 Chantilly 8 0 2 6 6:22 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)