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Stadium Background

Montlouis vs Chauray

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Montlouis
35%
Draws
13%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montlouis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chauray lately — more wins on the board than Montlouis.
  • Model gives Montlouis a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 68%
Chauray Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Chauray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Montlouis vs Chauray
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs Montlouis
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 95 / 100
Chauray 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Chauray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montlouis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montlouis scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Chauray let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Montlouis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Chauray
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montlouis

(Home)
05 Sept
Furiani Agliani
3 : 2
Montlouis
29 Aug
Montlouis
0 : 0
Epinal
22 Aug
Chantilly
1 : 1
Montlouis
16 May
Montlouis
2 : 2
Saint-Malo
09 May
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Montlouis
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Chauray

(Away)
04 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Chauray
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Chauray
0 : 1
Granville
09 May
La Roche Vendee
4 : 1
Chauray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)