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Stadium Background

Montlouis vs Les Herbiers

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Adekalom N.
23' Event
Hidasse Y.
28' Event
Kerriou A.

AI Match Summary

Les Herbiers in this National 2 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Les Herbiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Montlouis
6%
Draws
90%
Les Herbiers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Les Herbiers lately — more wins on the board than Montlouis.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Les Herbiers taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 10%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Les Herbiers
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Montlouis
4:0
Nov 22, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Montlouis vs Les Herbiers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidasse Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Adekalom N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerriou A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 10 / 100
Les Herbiers 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Les Herbiers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Les Herbiers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Montlouis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Les Herbiers
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325