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Montlouis vs Lorient II Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Amadi W.
90' Event
Marie-Louise G.

AI Match Summary

Montlouis in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montlouis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Montlouis
30%
Draws
47%
Lorient II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Montlouis haven't matched Lorient II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lorient II a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 15%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Lorient II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 12 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Montlouis vs Lorient II
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Montlouis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Amadi W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marie-Louise G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lorient II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 23 / 100
Lorient II 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Lorient II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lorient II let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Montlouis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Lorient II
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montlouis

(Home)
19 Sept
Biesheim
5 : 2
Montlouis
12 Sept
Montlouis
0 : 0
Creteil
05 Sept
Furiani Agliani
3 : 2
Montlouis
29 Aug
Montlouis
0 : 0
Epinal
22 Aug
Chantilly
1 : 1
Montlouis
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Lorient II

(Away)
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)