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Stadium Background

Montlouis vs Saint-Malo

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Toure L.
51' Event
Bangoura D.
75' Event
Capoue L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Montlouis
22%
Draws
60%
Saint-Malo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Saint-Malo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint-Malo lately — more wins on the board than Montlouis.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Saint-Malo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Saint-Malo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Montlouis vs Saint-Malo
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Montlouis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barbier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capoue L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 20 / 100
Saint-Malo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Saint-Malo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montlouis scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Saint-Malo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Montlouis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Saint-Malo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325