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Montlouis vs Saint-Pryve - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Barbier M.

AI Match Summary

Montlouis in this National 1 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montlouis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Montlouis
35%
Draws
19%
Saint-Pryve
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montlouis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Saint-Pryve have won more games recently than Montlouis.
  • Win probability leans Montlouis's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Pryve Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Saint-Pryve
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Montlouis vs Saint-Pryve
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbier M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Saint-Pryve Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 42 / 100
Saint-Pryve 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Saint-Pryve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Saint-Pryve conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Montlouis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Saint-Pryve has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Saint-Pryve
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montlouis

(Home)
03 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 0
Saint-Pryve
19 Sept
Biesheim
5 : 2
Montlouis
12 Sept
Montlouis
0 : 0
Creteil
05 Sept
Furiani Agliani
3 : 2
Montlouis
29 Aug
Montlouis
0 : 0
Epinal
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Saint-Pryve

(Away)
03 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 0
Saint-Pryve
19 Sept
Saint-Pryve
1 : 1
Dieppe
12 Sept
Feignies-Aulnoye
2 : 1
Saint-Pryve
05 Sept
Saint-Pryve
1 : 1
Colmar
29 Aug
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Saint-Pryve
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Furiani Agliani 6 4 2 0 14:4 14
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 6 4 2 0 10:5 14
3 Racing Club de France 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Feignies-Aulnoye 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
5 Chambly 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
6 Creteil 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
7 Dieppe 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
8 Biesheim 6 2 2 2 11:7 8
9 Haguenau 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
10 Montlouis 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
11 Epinal 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
12 USLPV 6 1 2 3 9:11 5
13 Borgo 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Colmar 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
15 Saint-Pryve 6 0 3 3 5:8 3
16 Chantilly 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)