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Montlouis vs Saumur Olympique Prediction & H2H Stats

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National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Bourgaud E.
90' Event
Guedon B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Montlouis
35%
Draws
37%
Saumur Olympique
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saumur Olympique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Montlouis have won more games recently than Saumur Olympique.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 20%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Saumur Olympique
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saumur Olympique vs Montlouis
0:0
Jan 17, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Montlouis vs Saumur Olympique
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Guedon B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Saumur Olympique Compare

Top Goalscorer Bourgaud E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 31 / 100
Saumur Olympique 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Saumur Olympique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montlouis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Saumur Olympique's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Montlouis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Saumur Olympique's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Saumur Olympique
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montlouis

(Home)
19 Sept
Biesheim
5 : 2
Montlouis
12 Sept
Montlouis
0 : 0
Creteil
05 Sept
Furiani Agliani
3 : 2
Montlouis
29 Aug
Montlouis
0 : 0
Epinal
22 Aug
Chantilly
1 : 1
Montlouis
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Saumur Olympique

(Away)
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0
Saumur Olympique
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Tarbes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)