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Stadium Background

Montlouis vs Saumur Olympique

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montlouis play Saumur Olympique in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montlouis averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Saumur Olympique averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Montlouis won 0, Saumur Olympique won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Montlouis and 1.38 for Saumur Olympique. This points to a Montlouis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Montlouis
32%
Draws
33%
Saumur Olympique
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Montlouis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Montlouis picked up more points recently compared to Saumur Olympique.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 17%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Saumur Olympique
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Saumur Olympique vs Montlouis
0:0
Jan 17, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Montlouis vs Saumur Olympique
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Guedon B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Saumur Olympique Compare

Top Goalscorer Bourgaud E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 35 / 100
Saumur Olympique 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Saumur Olympique

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Montlouis or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montlouis attacking → ← attacking Saumur Olympique

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Saumur Olympique let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Montlouis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Saumur Olympique lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 28
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325