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Montlouis vs Stade Poitevin Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hidasse Y.
70' Event
Castro A.
88' Event
Mbati Kaine J.

AI Match Summary

Montlouis in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montlouis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Montlouis
35%
Draws
37%
Stade Poitevin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stade Poitevin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montlouis lately — more wins on the board than Stade Poitevin.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 16%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Stade Poitevin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 12 11
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Montlouis vs Stade Poitevin
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Montlouis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidasse Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Stade Poitevin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbati Kaine J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 31 / 100
Stade Poitevin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Stade Poitevin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stade Poitevin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Montlouis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Stade Poitevin
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Montlouis

(Home)
19 Sept
Biesheim
5 : 2
Montlouis
12 Sept
Montlouis
0 : 0
Creteil
05 Sept
Furiani Agliani
3 : 2
Montlouis
29 Aug
Montlouis
0 : 0
Epinal
22 Aug
Chantilly
1 : 1
Montlouis
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Stade Poitevin

(Away)
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
09 May
Stade Poitevin
1 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
02 May
Chauray
2 : 1
Stade Poitevin
25 Apr
Stade Poitevin
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
18 Apr
Granville
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)