Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montlouis vs Stade Poitevin

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hidasse Y.
70' Event
Castro A.
88' Event
Mbati Kaine J.

AI Match Summary

Montlouis in this National 2 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montlouis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Montlouis
28%
Draws
50%
Stade Poitevin
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Stade Poitevin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montlouis lately — more wins on the board than Stade Poitevin.
  • Model gives Stade Poitevin a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 17%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Stade Poitevin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 5
Draws 10 11
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Montlouis vs Stade Poitevin
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Montlouis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidasse Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Stade Poitevin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbati Kaine J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 23 / 100
Stade Poitevin 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Stade Poitevin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stade Poitevin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Montlouis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Stade Poitevin
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325