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Montpellier vs AC Ajaccio

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sat, Aug 2, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montpellier host AC Ajaccio in the Club Friendly 2025. This has Montpellier written all over it on paper. AC Ajaccio have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Montpellier have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Montpellier have won 2 to AC Ajaccio's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Montpellier. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Montpellier
22%
Draws
18%
AC Ajaccio
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Montpellier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • AC Ajaccio haven't matched Montpellier's recent run of results.
  • Montpellier are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 20%
AC Ajaccio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier AC Ajaccio
Matches Played 28 10
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Montpellier
0:0
Sep 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs AC Ajaccio
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs AC Ajaccio
0:0
Mar 12, 2023 Ligue 1
AC Ajaccio vs Montpellier
0:1
Aug 31, 2022 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs AC Ajaccio
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier 58 / 100
AC Ajaccio 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier AC Ajaccio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MNT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Montpellier went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier VS AC Ajaccio
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier

(Home)
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1
Montpellier
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4
Cannes
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
09 May
Red Star
1 : 1
Montpellier
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AC Ajaccio

(Away)