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Montpellier vs Ales

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Delaye S.
21' Event
Mahamat B.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Kouyate K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Montpellier and Ales finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montpellier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Montpellier
30%
Draws
39%
Ales
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Montpellier carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Montpellier are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 20%
Ales Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier Ales
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Ales
2:1
Mar 6, 2021 Coupe de France
Ales vs Montpellier
1:2
May 2, 2048 Ligue 1
Ales vs Montpellier
3:0
Dec 7, 2047 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Ales
1:3
May 5, 2035 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Ales
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montpellier Compare

Top Goalscorer Delaye S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouyate K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Ales Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier 36 / 100
Ales 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier Ales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Montpellier scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Ales has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Montpellier went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier

(Home)
18 Sept
Reims
1 : 1
Montpellier
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
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Ales

(Away)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
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