Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montpellier vs Boulogne

France France

Ligue 2 Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Besic B.
23'
Tardieu F.
29' Event
Tardieu F.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Montpellier and Boulogne finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Montpellier
35%
Draws
22%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montpellier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montpellier come out ahead of Boulogne on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Montpellier taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 68%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier Boulogne
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.59 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Boulogne
0:0
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Montpellier
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Boulogne
1:3
Feb 6, 2010 Ligue 1
Boulogne vs Montpellier
0:2
Sep 26, 2009 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Boulogne
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier 77 / 100
Boulogne 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Montpellier went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Boulogne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier VS Boulogne
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier

(Home)
18 Sept
Reims
1 : 1
Montpellier
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
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Boulogne

(Away)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)