Sport Picks
Montpellier vs Boulogne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 2 Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier 
Match Events
20'
20'
Besic B.
23'
23'
Tardieu F.
29'
29'
Tardieu F.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 game between Montpellier and Boulogne finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montpellier
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Montpellier come out ahead of Boulogne on wins alone.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Montpellier taking it.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 68%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montpellier | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 0.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Boulogne
0:0
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Montpellier
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Boulogne
1:3
Feb 6, 2010 Ligue 1
Boulogne vs Montpellier
0:2
Sep 26, 2009 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Boulogne
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montpellier 68 / 100
Boulogne 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montpellier Boulogne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montpellier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montpellier's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Montpellier went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Boulogne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Montpellier VS Boulogne
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Montpellier
(Home) 06 Nov
Montpellier
2 : 3 Metz
31 Oct
Annecy
0 : 3 Montpellier
26 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 1 Red Star
19 Oct
Rodez
0 : 3 Montpellier
09 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 0 Grenoble
Page 1 of 6
06 Nov
Montpellier
2 : 3 Metz
26 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 1 Red Star
09 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 0 Grenoble
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0 Pau
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0 Boulogne
Page 1 of 4
Boulogne
(Away) 06 Nov
Boulogne
3 : 0 Annecy
30 Oct
Laval
1 : 0 Boulogne
26 Oct
Boulogne
1 : 1 Reims
16 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 2 Boulogne
09 Oct
Sochaux
1 : 1 Boulogne
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Laval
1 : 0 Boulogne
16 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 2 Boulogne
09 Oct
Sochaux
1 : 1 Boulogne
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1 Boulogne
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0 Boulogne
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Nancy | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Metz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Annecy | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Nantes | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11:15 | 11 |
| 16 | Sochaux | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 18 | Laval | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:23 | 9 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)
