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Montpellier vs Martigues

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Adams A.
55' Event
Khazri W.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Zouaoui I.

AI Match Summary

Montpellier in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montpellier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Montpellier
20%
Draws
24%
Martigues
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montpellier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Martigues haven't matched Montpellier's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Montpellier's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Montpellier have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 20%
Martigues Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier Martigues
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Martigues
0:0
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Martigues
2:1
Dec 21, 2000 Ligue 2
Martigues vs Montpellier
0:1
Aug 29, 2000 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Martigues
2:0
Jan 20, 1996 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Martigues
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montpellier Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Martigues Compare

Top Goalscorer Zouaoui I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier 85 / 100
Martigues 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier Martigues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MNT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Martigues's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 25 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Montpellier remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier

(Home)
01 Aug
Montpellier
4 : 2
Rodez
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1
Montpellier
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4
Cannes
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
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Martigues

(Away)
26 Jul
Martigues
1 : 1
AC Ajaccio
10 May
Lorient
5 : 1
Martigues
02 May
Martigues
1 : 1
Paris FC
25 Apr
Guingamp
2 : 1
Martigues
18 Apr
Caen
0 : 3
Martigues
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