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Montpellier W vs Le Havre W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7, Montpellier
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montpellier W host Le Havre W in the Premiere Ligue Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Montpellier W at 1.31 goals for, 1.72 against; Le Havre W at 1.33 for, 2.4 against. Past meetings favor Le Havre W slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.06) point toward Le Havre W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Montpellier W
20%
Draws
51%
Le Havre W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Havre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Montpellier W haven't matched Le Havre W's recent run of results.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Montpellier W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Le Havre W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 20%
Le Havre W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier W Le Havre W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Le Havre W
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs Montpellier W
3:2
Jan 25, 2025 Coupe de France Women
Montpellier W vs Le Havre W
0:2
Jan 18, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Le Havre W
1:3
Oct 18, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs Montpellier W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier W 58 / 100
Le Havre W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier W Le Havre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Montpellier W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Montpellier W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier W VS Le Havre W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier W

(Home)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
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Le Havre W

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)