Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montpellier W vs Marseille W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7, Montpellier
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Montpellier W
20%
Draws
52%
Marseille W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Marseille W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Marseille W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Marseille W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marseille W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 12%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier W Marseille W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Marseille W
0:0
Aug 29, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Marseille W
0:3
Mar 28, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Montpellier W
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Marseille W
0:3
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Marseille W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier W 14 / 100
Marseille W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier W Marseille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Marseille W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Montpellier W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier W VS Marseille W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier W

(Home)
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
22 Aug
Lille W
0 : 2
Montpellier W
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Marseille W

(Away)
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
22 Aug
Marseille W
3 : 0
Toulouse W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Lens W 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Saint-Malo W 2 2 0 0 4:1 5
4 Thonon Evian W 2 2 0 0 5:4 5
5 Nantes W 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
6 St Etienne W 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
7 Auxerre W 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
8 Le Mans W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
9 Fleury 91 W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Strasbourg W 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Roubaix W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12 Montpellier W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Nice W 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
14 Cannes W 1 0 0 1 4:4 1
15 Lille W 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
16 Le Havre W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Bourges 18 W 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
18 Toulouse W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
19 Metz W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
20 Grenoble W 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)