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Montpellier W vs OL Lyonnes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7, Montpellier
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montpellier W host OL Lyonnes W in the Premiere Ligue Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. OL Lyonnes W have shipped 0.67 goals a game lately, while Montpellier W have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor OL Lyonnes W slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.94) point toward OL Lyonnes W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Montpellier W
30%
Draws
51%
OL Lyonnes W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: OL Lyonnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Montpellier W haven't matched OL Lyonnes W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans OL Lyonnes W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and OL Lyonnes W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 10%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier W OL Lyonnes W
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 8 28
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.31 3.72
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Montpellier W
3:1
Nov 7, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:5
Jan 31, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:4
Oct 5, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Montpellier W
4:0
Jan 21, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier W 10 / 100
OL Lyonnes W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier W OL Lyonnes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Montpellier W scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Montpellier W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: OL Lyonnes W conceded in 47% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier W VS OL Lyonnes W
1.75 Goals Scored 4.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier W

(Home)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
Page 1 of 6

OL Lyonnes W

(Away)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
23 Sept
Servette W
0 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)