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Montpellier W vs Paris FC W

France France

Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7, Montpellier
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Ouchene S. In: Gstalter L.
Out: Ouchene S.
26'
Levasseur M.
32'
Louis K.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Montpellier W and Paris FC W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paris FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Montpellier W
28%
Draws
50%
Paris FC W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Paris FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Paris FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Paris FC W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Paris FC W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 10%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier W Paris FC W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 20
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Paris FC W
0:2
Nov 22, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Montpellier W
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Paris FC W
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Montpellier W
4:2
Mar 29, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Montpellier W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montpellier W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paris FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogaert L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier W 22 / 100
Paris FC W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier W Paris FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Paris FC W conceded in 48% of 33 recent games.

Montpellier W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier W VS Paris FC W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier W

(Home)
06 May
Lyon W
3 : 1
Montpellier W
25 Apr
Montpellier W
1 : 0
St Etienne W
22 Apr
Montpellier W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
28 Mar
Marseille W
1 : 2
Montpellier W
22 Mar
Montpellier W
2 : 3
PSG W
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Paris FC W

(Away)
29 May
Lyon W
5 : 0
Paris FC W
16 May
Paris FC W
1 : 0
PSG W
06 May
Paris FC W
6 : 2
Lens W
25 Apr
Dijon W
1 : 2
Paris FC W
22 Apr
Montpellier W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon W22193076:1160
2Paris FC W22153446:1648
3PSG W22152548:2647
4Nantes W22125542:3441
5Fleury 91 W2296727:2133
6Dijon W2296721:2833
7Strasbourg W22751026:3826
8Le Havre W22561125:4521
9Marseille W22541326:4419
10Montpellier W22431528:4515
11Lens W22431520:5015
12St Etienne W22341511:3813
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women (Main)