Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montreal Roses FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W

Canada Canada

NSL Women Stade Boreale
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montreal Roses FC W play Calgary Wild FC W in the NSL Women. Montreal Roses FC W are favorites here. Recently, Montreal Roses FC W averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. Calgary Wild FC W averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Montreal Roses FC W won 1, Calgary Wild FC W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Montreal Roses FC W and 0.81 for Calgary Wild FC W. This points to a Montreal Roses FC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Montreal Roses FC W
6%
Draws
4%
Calgary Wild FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Montreal Roses FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Montreal Roses FC W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Calgary Wild FC W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Montreal Roses FC W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NSL Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 68%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montreal Roses FC W Calgary Wild FC W
Matches Played 10 9
Wins 5 0
Draws 3 2
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 1.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
1:1
May 16, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Badu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Calgary Wild FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montreal Roses FC W 95 / 100
Calgary Wild FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montreal Roses FC W Calgary Wild FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montreal Roses FC W scored in 100% of their last 10 games.

Calgary Wild FC W let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Montreal Roses FC W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Calgary Wild FC W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montreal Roses FC W VS Calgary Wild FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ottawa Rapid FC W1071224:1222
2Montreal Roses FC W1053221:1118
3AFC Toronto W943214:815
4Halifax Tides FC W1042413:914
5Vancouver Rise FC W1031613:2710
6Calgary Wild FC W90276:242