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Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W

Canada Canada

NSL Women Stade Boreale, Laval, QC
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bennett E.
Assist: Pechersky E.
30'
Reyes C.
45' Event
Boychuk T.

AI Match Summary

The NSL Women game between Montreal Roses FC W and Vancouver Rise FC W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montreal Roses FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Montreal Roses FC W
6%
Draws
4%
Vancouver Rise FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Montreal Roses FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montreal Roses FC W come out ahead of Vancouver Rise FC W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Montreal Roses FC W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Montreal Roses FC W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 68%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montreal Roses FC W Vancouver Rise FC W
Matches Played 12 16
Wins 7 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
5:1
May 30, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
2:3
May 2, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boychuk T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bennett E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vancouver Rise FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montreal Roses FC W 95 / 100
Vancouver Rise FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montreal Roses FC W Vancouver Rise FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montreal Roses FC W scored in 100% of their last 12 games.

Vancouver Rise FC W has conceded goals in 88% of their last 16 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Montreal Roses FC W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montreal Roses FC W VS Vancouver Rise FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Montreal Roses FC W

(Home)
18 Jul
Calgary Wild FC W
0 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
12 Jul
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
04 Jul
Montreal Roses FC W
5 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
25 Jun
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 2
Ottawa Rapid FC W
21 Jun
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
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Vancouver Rise FC W

(Away)
18 Jul
AFC Toronto W
0 : 3
Vancouver Rise FC W
11 Jul
Calgary Wild FC W
2 : 4
Vancouver Rise FC W
04 Jul
Montreal Roses FC W
5 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
28 Jun
Vancouver Rise FC W
1 : 3
AFC Toronto W
18 Jun
Halifax Tides FC W
1 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ottawa Rapid FC W1291228:1428
2Montreal Roses FC W1273224:1124
3Vancouver Rise FC W1251620:2916
4AFC Toronto W1143415:1315
5Halifax Tides FC W1242614:1214
6Calgary Wild FC W110298:302
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)