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Montreal Roses FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W

Canada Canada

NSL Women Stade Boreale
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Jung Min-Young In: Waite S.
Out: Jung Min-Young
12' Event
Melenhorst K.
28'
Minas C.

AI Match Summary

Montreal Roses FC W host Ottawa Rapid FC W in the NSL Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Montreal Roses FC W have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Ottawa Rapid FC W's 2.5 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Montreal Roses FC W have won 1 to Ottawa Rapid FC W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 25, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.88) point toward Ottawa Rapid FC W. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Montreal Roses FC W
39%
Draws
30%
Ottawa Rapid FC W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ottawa Rapid FC W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Montreal Roses FC W.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NSL Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Ottawa Rapid FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montreal Roses FC W Ottawa Rapid FC W
Matches Played 11 11
Wins 6 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 1.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
1:2
May 23, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ottawa Rapid FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Melenhorst K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forbes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montreal Roses FC W 30 / 100
Ottawa Rapid FC W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montreal Roses FC W Ottawa Rapid FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montreal Roses FC W scored in 100% of their last 11 games.

Ottawa Rapid FC W let in goals in 82% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Montreal Roses FC W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ottawa Rapid FC W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montreal Roses FC W VS Ottawa Rapid FC W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ottawa Rapid FC W1181226:1325
2Montreal Roses FC W1163222:1121
3AFC Toronto W1043315:1015
4Halifax Tides FC W1142513:1014
5Vancouver Rise FC W1141617:2913
6Calgary Wild FC W100288:282