Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montrose vs Forfar Athletic

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Links Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montrose play Forfar Athletic in the Challenge Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montrose averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. Forfar Athletic averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Montrose won 1, Forfar Athletic won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Montrose and 1.50 for Forfar Athletic. This points to a Forfar Athletic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Montrose
32%
Draws
34%
Forfar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Forfar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Montrose picked up more points recently compared to Forfar Athletic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Montrose Clean Sheet 16%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose Forfar Athletic
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.94 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Forfar Athletic vs Montrose
1:1
Aug 26, 2025 Challenge Cup
Montrose vs Forfar Athletic
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Forfar Athletic vs Montrose
1:1
Jul 18, 2023 League Cup
Montrose vs Forfar Athletic
1:2
Jun 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Montrose vs Forfar Athletic
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Forfar Athletic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose 34 / 100
Forfar Athletic 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose Forfar Athletic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Forfar Athletic or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montrose attacking → ← attacking Forfar Athletic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montrose scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Forfar Athletic let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Montrose went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Forfar Athletic lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 45
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210