Sport Picks
Montrose vs Queen of the South - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
League One Links Park, Montrose 
Match Events
3'
3'
Oliver G.
49'
49'
Clark N.
Assist: Charters T.
50'
50'
Smith L.
AI Match Summary
Montrose in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montrose.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queen of the South
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Montrose have won more games recently than Queen of the South.
- Model gives Queen of the South a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Montrose Clean Sheet 11%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montrose | Queen of the South |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 League One
Montrose vs Queen of the South
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Montrose
2:2
Feb 21, 2026 League One
Montrose vs Queen of the South
3:2
Dec 20, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Montrose
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 League One
Montrose vs Queen of the South
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montrose Compare
Top Goalscorer Oliver G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Queen of the South Compare
Top Goalscorer Clark N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montrose 10 / 100
Queen of the South 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montrose Queen of the South
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Queen of the South Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Queen of the South let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Montrose found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Montrose went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montrose VS Queen of the South
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Montrose
(Home) 10 Oct
Montrose
0 : 5 Ross County
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2 Montrose
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Montrose
0 : 5 Ross County
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1 Cove Rangers
08 Sept
Montrose
3 : 2 Dundee FC B
29 Aug
Montrose
2 : 1 Queen of the South
25 Aug
Montrose
3 : 0 Clyde
Page 1 of 4
Queen of the South
(Away) 10 Oct
Peterhead
0 : 1 Queen of the South
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3 Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2 Rangers B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1 Annan
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1 Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Peterhead
0 : 1 Queen of the South
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1 Queen of the South
15 Sept
Ross County
8 : 0 Queen of the South
08 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 1 Queen of the South
29 Aug
Montrose
2 : 1 Queen of the South
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 25 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 5 | Airdrieonians | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | 13 |
| 6 | Queen of the South | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:27 | 10 |
| 7 | East Fife | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Alloa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
