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Montrose W vs Falkirk FCF W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Miller D.
Penalty Missed
38' Event
Guthrie N.
Assist: Ross E.
73' Event
Cowper C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Montrose W
15%
Draws
85%
Falkirk FCF W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falkirk FCF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montrose W lately — more wins on the board than Falkirk FCF W.
  • Model gives Montrose W a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Montrose W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Montrose W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Montrose W Clean Sheet 68%
Falkirk FCF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose W Falkirk FCF W
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 11 0
Draws 2 0
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 2.03 0.4
Goals Conceded 2.27 7.8
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Montrose W vs Falkirk FCF W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guthrie N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cowper C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Falkirk FCF W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose W 95 / 100
Falkirk FCF W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose W Falkirk FCF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montrose W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkirk FCF W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Falkirk FCF W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Montrose W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Montrose W VS Falkirk FCF W
4 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Montrose W

(Home)
04 Oct
Montrose W
1 : 3
Glasgow City W
27 Sept
Partick W
3 : 2
Montrose W
20 Sept
Hibernian W
6 : 1
Montrose W
13 Sept
Boroughmuir W
1 : 0
Montrose W
06 Sept
Montrose W
0 : 7
Hearts W
Page 1 of 6

Falkirk FCF W

(Away)
09 Aug
Livingston W
5 : 0
Falkirk FCF W
05 Aug
Falkirk FCF W
0 : 3
Kilmarnock W
02 Aug
Montrose W
5 : 0
Falkirk FCF W
26 Jul
Falkirk FCF W
2 : 4
Gartcairn W
17 Aug
Falkirk FCF W
0 : 22
Rangers W

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montrose W 4 4 0 0 25:3 12
2 Motherwell W 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
3 Spartans W 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Hamilton W 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
5 Kilmarnock W 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
6 Boroughmuir W 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
7 Livingston W 4 2 0 2 9:12 6
8 Gartcairn W 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
9 Dundee Utd W 4 2 0 2 7:6 5
10 Queen's Park W 4 1 0 3 7:9 4
11 Renfrew W 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
12 St Johnstone W 4 1 0 3 9:16 3
13 Aberdeen W 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
14 Falkirk FCF W 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)