Sport Picks
Montrose W vs Hamilton W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
SWPL Cup Women 
Match Events
1'
1'
Brown L.
Assist: Taylor D.
4'
4'
Brown L.
Assist: Carter G.
5'
5'
Guthrie N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 9-0. The second leg ended 9-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Montrose W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Hamilton W's way, sitting at 90%.
- Montrose W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Montrose W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
- History favors Montrose W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Montrose W Clean Sheet 13%
Hamilton W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montrose W | Hamilton W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 2.08 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.84 | 4.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.50 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Montrose W vs Hamilton W
9:0
May 17, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Montrose W
0:5
Mar 15, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Hamilton W
6:0
Dec 21, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Montrose W
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Hamilton W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montrose W Compare
Top Goalscorer Brown L.
3 Goals Assists Leader McDonald K.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75
Hamilton W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montrose W 10 / 100
Hamilton W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montrose W Hamilton W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hamilton W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Montrose W scored in 81% of their last 37 outings.
Hamilton W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
Hamilton W lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montrose W VS Hamilton W
4 Goals Scored 1.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 86%
75% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
Montrose W
(Home) 04 Oct
Montrose W
1 : 3 Glasgow City W
27 Sept
Partick W
3 : 2 Montrose W
20 Sept
Hibernian W
6 : 1 Montrose W
13 Sept
Boroughmuir W
1 : 0 Montrose W
06 Sept
Montrose W
0 : 7 Hearts W
Page 1 of 8
04 Oct
Montrose W
1 : 3 Glasgow City W
06 Sept
Montrose W
0 : 7 Hearts W
30 Aug
Montrose W
1 : 3 Motherwell W
16 Aug
Montrose W
1 : 4 Rangers W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0 Hamilton W
Page 1 of 4
Hamilton W
(Away) 13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0 Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0 Hamilton W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0 Livingston W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8 Hamilton W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1 Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0 Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0 Hamilton W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8 Hamilton W
10 May
Aberdeen W
4 : 0 Hamilton W
05 Apr
Motherwell W
4 : 0 Hamilton W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montrose W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Motherwell W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Spartans W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Hamilton W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Boroughmuir W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Livingston W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 8 | Gartcairn W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 6 |
| 9 | Dundee Utd W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Queen's Park W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Renfrew W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:16 | 3 |
| 12 | St Johnstone W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:16 | 3 |
| 13 | Aberdeen W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Falkirk FCF W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:17 | 0 |
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
