Sport Picks
Montserrat vs Bonaire
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Arnos Vale Stadium, Kingstown 
Match Events
23'
23'
Sonnenschein B.
29'
29'
Cicilia A.
38'
38'
Winklaar A.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Montserrat and Bonaire finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonaire.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montserrat
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bonaire's 1.43 goals per match outpaces what Montserrat have produced (1.18).
- Win probability leans Montserrat's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Montserrat Clean Sheet 20%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montserrat | Bonaire |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 13, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Bonaire
0:1
Oct 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs Montserrat
0:1
Jun 3, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Montserrat vs Bonaire
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montserrat Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Bonaire Compare
Top Goalscorer Cicilia A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montserrat 49 / 100
Bonaire 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montserrat Bonaire
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montserrat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bonaire let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Montserrat's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Away concern: Bonaire has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 0.67 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Montserrat VS Bonaire
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Montserrat
(Home) 23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2 Montserrat
11 Jun
Guyana
3 : 0 Montserrat
04 Jun
Montserrat
1 : 0 Belize
18 Nov
El Salvador
1 : 0 Montserrat
14 Nov
Montserrat
1 : 2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Page 1 of 6
04 Jun
Montserrat
1 : 0 Belize
14 Nov
Montserrat
1 : 2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
13 Oct
Montserrat
0 : 1 Bonaire
05 Sept
Montserrat
1 : 4 El Salvador
10 Jun
Montserrat
1 : 3 Panama
Page 1 of 3
Bonaire
(Away) 06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0 Bonaire
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3 Saint Martin
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
15 Nov
Guyana
2 : 1 Bonaire
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2 Bonaire
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0 Bonaire
15 Nov
Guyana
2 : 1 Bonaire
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2 Bonaire
25 Mar
Niger
6 : 0 Bonaire
17 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1 Bonaire
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
