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Montserrat vs Turks and Caicos Islands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League TCIFA National Academy, Providenciales
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Match Events

3' Event
Taylor L.
(Penalty)
16'
Cadet M.
24'
Comley B.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Montserrat and Turks and Caicos Islands finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montserrat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Montserrat
15%
Draws
28%
Turks and Caicos Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montserrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montserrat come out ahead of Turks and Caicos Islands on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Montserrat taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Montserrat Clean Sheet 68%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montserrat Turks and Caicos Islands
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.9 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Turks and Caicos Islands
4:1
Sep 23, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs Montserrat
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montserrat Compare

Top Goalscorer Baker T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boatswain A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Forbes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montserrat 95 / 100
Turks and Caicos Islands 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montserrat Turks and Caicos Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montserrat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turks and Caicos Islands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Montserrat scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Montserrat has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montserrat VS Turks and Caicos Islands
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montserrat

(Home)
06 Oct
Montserrat
4 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
01 Oct
British Virgin Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
26 Sept
Montserrat
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
11 Jun
Guyana
3 : 0
Montserrat
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Turks and Caicos Islands

(Away)
06 Oct
Montserrat
4 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
04 Oct
Turks and Caicos Islands
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
29 Sept
British Virgin Islands
0 : 3
Turks and Caicos Islands
23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
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