Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monza U20 vs Bologna U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026 Centro Sportivo Luigi Berlusconi, Monza
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Ferrari F.
62'
Sub
Libra M. In: Baroncioni D.
Out: Libra M.
66'
Sub
De Bonis A. In: Fardin G.
Out: De Bonis A.

AI Match Summary

Bologna U20 in this Primavera 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bologna U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Monza U20
20%
Draws
44%
Bologna U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bologna U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bologna U20 lately — more wins on the board than Monza U20.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Monza U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Monza U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Bologna U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza U20 Bologna U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Bologna U20
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Primavera 1
Bologna U20 vs Monza U20
2:3
May 9, 2025 Primavera 1
Bologna U20 vs Monza U20
4:3
Jan 12, 2025 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Bologna U20
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bologna U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrari F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Negri S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza U20 38 / 100
Bologna U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza U20 Bologna U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monza U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Monza U20 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Bologna U20 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Monza U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza U20 VS Bologna U20
1 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2
Lecce U20
06 Sept
Verona U20
1 : 2
Monza U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
22 Aug
AS Roma U20
3 : 2
Monza U20
16 May
Monza U20
0 : 0
Parma U20
Page 1 of 6

Bologna U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Sassuolo U20
5 : 3
Bologna U20
04 Sept
Bologna U20
0 : 3
Inter U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3
Bologna U20
23 Aug
Bologna U20
4 : 2
Atalanta U20
24 May
Fiorentina U20
2 : 0
Bologna U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 70:48 68
2 Parma U20 38 19 11 8 59:38 68
3 Cesena U20 38 19 10 9 70:52 67
4 AS Roma U20 38 17 12 9 59:35 63
5 Bologna U20 38 17 11 10 54:40 62
6 Inter U20 38 16 11 11 70:61 59
7 Atalanta U20 38 14 15 9 54:47 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 52:48 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54:53 54
10 Genoa U20 38 12 14 12 49:52 50
11 AC Milan U20 38 11 16 11 51:49 49
12 Verona U20 38 12 12 14 55:61 48
13 Torino U20 38 11 14 13 50:50 47
14 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
15 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 44:51 47
16 Sassuolo U20 38 10 14 14 51:58 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
18 Cagliari U20 38 10 9 19 49:62 39
19 Frosinone U20 38 8 11 19 47:76 35
20 Cremonese U20 38 6 6 26 31:64 24
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)